About Draft: 5 biggest storylines ahead of Round 1
The 2024 NFL Draft kicks off Thursday — an evening of fanfare that might result in a broken record for most offensive players selected in Round 1 ever. With plenty of depth atop the quarterback, wide receiver and offensive tackle classes in particular, redraft, dynasty and best ball managers alike will have plenty to keep their eyes on.
Here’s a look at the five biggest storylines fantasy managers can monitor in Round 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft.
The Buffalo Bills made waves in early April after trading away star wide receiver Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans. After taking a moment to celebrate what the move would mean for second-year quarterback C.J. Stroud, fantasy managers were forced to confront an ugly reality — if Diggs is out, that means that Bills QB Josh Allen is throwing to Khalil Shakir, Curtis Samuel and Mack Hollins. After all, it’s not just Diggs who departed Buffalo this offseason. It was also deep threat Gabe Davis, whose 32.1% deep target rate ranked fourth among receivers last year (min. 15 targets of 20-plus air yards). Even with promising receiving tight end Dalton Kincaid playing out of the slot, that’s… slim pickings.
Even picking at No. 28, the Bills will have plenty of viable options at receiver with potential to contribute on Day 1. However, they’ve also got a big need at cornerback they could potentially address if the “right” guy doesn’t fall to them. That leaves fantasy managers with a couple of questions regarding the value of Allen approaching the 2024 fantasy season; is he still QB1 without a true, proven outside threat at wide receiver?
Though fantasy managers might have some concerns about Allen’s upside without Diggs on the field, the stats last season told a different story. Per NFL Next Gen Stats, Allen posted a higher successful throw percentage, higher passer rating, and a dramatically increased value in terms of EPA per dropback without Diggs on the field. GM Brandon Beane was also quoted as
Don’t be surprised if — regardless of what the Bills do at No. 28 — Allen poses a decent value in both dynasty and redraft leagues approaching the 2024 season, out of sheer fear alone. If he doesn’t have a receiver he trusts with 50/50 balls à la Diggs, it could just mean a higher propensity to scramble without an open target down the field to truly maximize that rushing upside. Having already ranked third among quarterbacks with 50 scrambles in the 2023 regular season, fantasy managers could be in for a #KonamiCode treat